Archive for the 'Atlanta Braves' Category

Teixeira, Giles deals don’t match up

Let’s look at two players who avoided arbitration today: Rangers’ first baseman Mark Teixeira and Braves’ second baseman Marcus Giles.

These two days were announced within hours of each other. Giles signed a one-year $3.85 million deal with the Braves while MVP candidate Teixeira got a two-year $15.4 million deal from Texas. Over at Baseball Musings, David Pinto opined that Teixeira’s signing suggested that Marcus Giles is underpaid.

While he may not have matched Teixeira’s .301/.379/.575 43-homer season, Giles’ .291/.365/.461 line from the second base position is worth more than half of one year of Teixeira’s deal. Or at least that’s how the argument goes. Let’s look at some other numbers.

For this chart, I’m going to compare Teixeira and Giles across three sabermetric measurements. The first is Win Shares, a Jamesian stat that relates a player’s individual stats to the number of wins he contributed to the team. Three win shares is equal to one win.

The second is VORP or Value Over Replacement Player. VORP is defined thusly: “The number of runs contributed beyond what a replacement-level player at the same position would contribute if given the same percentage of team plate appearances.” A replacement player is the next available option; that means, either the first guy called up to the Majors from AAA or the option the waiver wire.

The third is WARP-3, a Baseball Prospectus stat, that looks at Wins Above Replacement Level. The rational is similar to that of VORP.

Win Shares VORP WARP-3
Marcus Giles 23 48.8 8.1
Mark Teixeira 33 73.1 10.5

What we see first is very little variation across the three statistics. Based on Win Shares, Giles contributed 7.6 wins while Teixeira contributed 11. Based on VORP, Teixeira’s value was approximately 1.5 times that of Giles’. Based on WARP-3, Giles was 8.1 wins better than replacement while Teixeira was just 2.4 wins better than Giles.

So what these numbers show is that David Pinto’s original feeling was correct. These salaries do not match up with the production offered by these two players. Either Teixeira is being overpaid or Giles is being underpaid.

It’s hard to say that Teixeira is underpaid simply because he will be 26 in April and has gotten steadily better each year. He ought to be a perennial contender for the MVP award and has a Gold Glove, for what that’s worth, as well. The Rangers’ doling out $7.7 million a year for his services seems more than reasonable.

Giles on the other hand is certainly underpaid. He’s one of the game’s top second baseman and, at 27, is entering his peak player years. He doesn’t enjoy the same home park benefits that Teixeira enjoys in Texas. Even so, his production is clearly not that inferior to Teixeira’s.

With two players near the top of their respective positions locked up to contracts on the same day, it’s interesting to compare them and wonder what happened. Here’s one solution: Maybe Scott Boras, Teixeira’s agent, is really that much better of an agent that Joe Bick, the man representing Giles. For all the hype and negative publicity surrounding Boras, he really just might be that much better at getting his clients the deals they deserve (and sometimes even the deals they don’t deserve).

Advertisements

RSS River Ave. Blues

  • A Goodbye and a Thank You April 30, 2019
    I’m going to let you all in on a little secret. There has never been a moment — not once — where I felt like I deserved the recognition or praise that came my way for RAB. I’m not oblivious to the site’s success and to this day I have a hard time wrapping my […] The post A Goodbye and a Thank You appeared first on River Avenue Blues.
    Mike
  • A Guide to Life After RAB April 30, 2019
    In the three weeks since we announced RAB is shutting down, I’ve been overwhelmed by thank yous and people reaching out to tell me what RAB means to them. It means a lot to me (to us) and I thank everyone who reached out. In those three weeks I’ve also been overwhelmed by folks asking […] The post A Guide to Life After RAB appeared first on River Avenue Blue […]
    Mike
  • RAB: Origins April 29, 2019
    Contemplating the end of RAB, I thought of its origins. Why did the three of us come together to create this site? Ben covered the basics in his own farewell post so apologies if I’m covering known ground. But this is the story as I remember and can document it. In 2006 we were all […] The post RAB: Origins appeared first on River Avenue Blues.
    Joe Pawlikowski
  • Our Back Pages: A Farewell To All This April 29, 2019
    A lifetime ago, Joe and I were in charge of the Yankees site for the Most Valuable Network, a long-defunct sports blog network, when we decided we could do a better job on our own. We wanted Minor League content too and invited Mike along for the ride. We felt we could provide comprehensive Yankee […] The post Our Back Pages: A Farewell To All This appeared […]
    Benjamin Kabak
  • A thank you to RAB, where it all started for me April 29, 2019
    In January 2017, the Yankees were doing the “Winter Warm-Up” series to introduce newer players to the fanbase through sandwich workshops, surprising ticketholders, going to museums, etc. At one point, they also had a presser at the Yankee Stadium. I was informed of the opportunity to cover it for River Avenue Blues and simply took […] The post A thank you to […]
    Sung-Min Kim
  • Ten Years of the RAB Fan Confidence Poll April 29, 2019
    I did not realize this at the time, but the ten-year anniversary of our Fan Confidence Poll was this past March 2nd. The big stories when we launched the Fan Confidence Poll? Alex Rodriguez needing hip surgery, Mark Teahen trade rumors, and CC Sabathia’s and A.J. Burnett’s Spring Training debuts. Feels like a lifetime ago. […] The post Ten Years of the RAB F […]
    Mike
  • Yankeemetrics: Bombers coasting out west (April 26-28) April 29, 2019
    As RAB closes shop today, I personally wanted to thank everyone for their tremendous support of this website and my writing over the past four-plus years. It was truly an honor to contribute to this amazing site, to be able to write about my favorite team, and be a part of a really special and […] The post Yankeemetrics: Bombers coasting out west (April 26-2 […]
    Katie Sharp
  • Yankees 11, Giants 5: Yankees close out RAB era with a sweep April 28, 2019
    All things considered, I’m not sure I could’ve asked the Yankees for a better ending to the RAB era. With RAB set to close its internet doors Monday, the Yankees went out and clobbered the Giants in Sunday’s series finale to finish the three-game series sweep. The final score was 11-5. The Yankees have won […] The post Yankees 11, Giants 5: Yankees close out […]
    Mike
  • The Final DotF: Park, Gittens have big games in Trenton’s win April 28, 2019
    RHP Nick Green has been placed on the Double-A Trenton injured list, the team announced. He joins RHP Trevor Stephan and RHP Nick Nelson (and others) on the shelf. Also, RHP Garrett Whitlock was removed from yesterday’s start after one inning, though he remains on the active roster. No word on what’s wrong with any […] The post The Final DotF: Park, Gittens […]
    Mike
  • Update: DJ LeMahieu exits Sunday’s game with right knee inflammation April 28, 2019
    7:33pm ET: LeMahieu will get an MRI and see an orthopedist tomorrow, Aaron Boone announced following the game. It looks like a deep bruise but they want to make sure that’s it. 5:45pm ET: LeMahieu has right knee inflammation, the Yankees announced. X-rays came back negative. Hopefully he’ll be able to return to action following […] The post Update: DJ LeMahi […]
    Mike

Blog Stats

  • 62,782 hits
Advertisements