Archive for the 'Seattle Mariners' Category

Bavasi’s words, Carl Everett’s reality don’t match up

I hate to take General Managers to task for what they say in press conferences. Oftentimes, these guys are among the top professionals in their field, and part of the job involves putting a good face forward in press conferences. Never would a general manager bemoan in acquisition in front of the local reporters.

But sometimes, the words coming up of a general manager’s mouth and the reality of the situation are so far removed from each other, I can’t help myself. That’s where Mariners GM Bill Bavasi and the team’s acquisition of Carl Everett comes into play.

The Mariners this evening announced that the team and Everett, a DH with some outfield time under his belt, had reached an agreement on a one-year, $4-million deal. At the press conference, Bavasi praised the newest Mariner. “Today we achieved one of our off-season goals. Carl Everett is a clutch-hitting run producer with power. As a switch-hitter, he provides our lineup with added versatility.”

Well, if their off-season goal was to sign a guy who doesn’t believe dinosaurs existed, then they fulfilled that goal. But if their goal was to sign a clutch-hitting run producer with power, then I think they may have fallen for short on a few fronts.

Let’s start with run producer. Is Carl Everett a run producer? Everett’s offensive line in 2005 was .251/.311/.435, good for last among all full-time American League Designated Hitters. So in a position created for offense, Carl Everett’s production is, well, offensive.

Looking at some more descriptive statistics, Everett’s production gets even worse. (Skip this part if you’re not sabermetrically inclined.) According to Baseball Reference, Everett had 547 plate appearances and made an astounding 393 at bats. He created 4.53 runs per 27 outs. So for this metric, a lineup of Carl Everett’s would score just 4.53 runs per game. That makes Everett just .5 run per 27 outs better than the 2004 version of Jason Giambi. That is not good.

Furthermore, Everett had an MLVr of -.034. In other words, he would contribute negative runs to a lineup made up of otherwise average hitters. This ranks him behind such luminaries as Chone Figgins, Travis Lee, and Michael Cuddyer. That hardly makes him the run producing monster Bavasi painted him to be.

Next, let’s look at the whole clutch hitting thing. Now, when one says clutch hitter, I think David Ortiz. I’ve seen David Ortiz, and Carl Everett, sir, is no David Ortiz. In 2005, in the ever-popular “close and late” situation where it’s the 7th inning or later and the batting team is up by one run, tied, or with the potential tying run on desk, Carl Everett hit a whopping .156/.253/.247 with 27 strike outs in 77 at-bats.

Well, Bavasi may say, defending Everett, 77 at-bats doesn’t really constitute a big enough sample size. Let’s push back the analysis to Everett’s combined plate appearances from 2002 through 2004. The picture is no better. This time, in 179 at-bats, Everett hit .201/.289/.341. That’s the opposite of clutch. While Everett hits fairly well with runners in scoring position, with the game on the line, Carl Everett is not the guy you want up at the plate.

Maybe Bill Bavasi was talking about someone else when he mentioned this clutch-hitting, run-producer will power, but it certainly doesn’t look like Carl Everett is that guy. During his press conference, Bavasi also talked about how Everett “would break up any monotony or boredom.” Of course, that’s not because of his ability to change the game with one swing. At age 34, that skill, along with Everett’s run-producing abilities, are fading into the past. Rather, you never know when Everett might just grab his crotch in celebration of a home run as he did against his new teammate Jamie Moyer in 2001.

Monotonous and boring? That’s not Carl Everett. But neither is clutch-hitting and run-producing. Now the Mariners and their fans will find these out first hand at the expense of, well, fielding a good team.

Advertisements

RSS River Ave. Blues

  • Rays 2, Yankees 1: A forgettable loss if there ever was one June 23, 2018
    Ugh, I hate that the Yankees only win most games and not all games. The Yanks dropped a completely forgettable series opener to the Rays on Friday night. Giancarlo Stanton made a great catch and … that’s it? Nothing else of note happened. The final score was 2-1. Sabathia Bends, Breaks Only A Little Pretty […] The post Rays 2, Yankees 1: A forgettable loss i […]
    Mike Axisa
  • DotF: Clarke Schmidt debuts following Tommy John surgery June 23, 2018
    MLB.com posted their midseason top 100 prospects list today. Three Yankees made it: OF Estevan Florial (No. 39), LHP Justus Sheffield (No. 42), and RHP Albert Abreu (No. 65). 2B Gleyber Torres and 3B Miguel Andujar are no longer prospect eligible while RHP Chance Adams, who was No. 66 before the season, has dropped out […] The post DotF: Clarke Schmidt debut […]
    Mike Axisa
  • Game 73: A Trip to the Trop June 22, 2018
    The season is nearly halfway complete, and the Yankees are just now making their first trip to Tropicana Field. Very weird schedule this year. I’m not complaining. The Trop stinks. Just pointing out the schedule is weird. First of three in St. Pete tonight. As for the Yankees, my goodness they are red hot right […] The post Game 73: A Trip to the Trop appear […]
    Mike Axisa
  • 6/22 to 6/24 Series Preview: Tampa Bay Rays June 22, 2018
    For the first time this season, the Yankees will play in Tropicana Field. They’re in Tampa for three games this weekend. The Last Time They Met It seems like just yesterday that the Yankees hosted the Rays, but that’s not quite true; in fact, it was last week. The Rays visited the Bronx last weekend, […] The post 6/22 to 6/24 Series Preview: Tampa Bay Rays a […]
    Domenic Lanza
  • Yankeemetrics: Bomber Brooms, Seattle Sweep (June 19-21) June 22, 2018
    Domingo+Dingers=Win After a quick trip to the nation’s capital, the Yankees were back at the friendly confines on Tuesday night and opened their series with an easy 7-2 win over the Mariners. Domingo German was absolutely brilliant in his eighth career start. After giving up a run (unearned) in the first inning, he retired 19(!) […] The post Yankeemetrics: B […]
    Katie Sharp
  • Mailbag: Torres, Adams, Loaisiga, Gardner, Drury, Judge, Bundy June 22, 2018
    There are ten questions in this week’s mailbag. RABmailbag (at) gmail (dot) com is the mailbag email address, so send your questions there each week. Ryan asks: Any explanation for the power Torres is showing in the majors? I think I read he had only 24 homers in like 1,500 at bats in the minors. […] The post Mailbag: Torres, Adams, Loaisiga, Gardner, Drury, […]
    Mike Axisa
  • DotF: Wagner goes deep yet again in Tampa’s win June 22, 2018
    Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (3-1 win over Lehigh Valley) SS Tyler Wade: 1-4, 1 2B, 1 SB — 24-for-73 (.329) with five doubles, a triple, and two homers in his last 17 games … that looks a lot more like pre-2018 Tyler Wade 1B Brandon Drury: 1-4, 1 2B, 2 RBI, 1 K — second start […] The post DotF: Wagner goes deep yet again in Tampa’s win appeared […]
    Mike Axisa
  • Thursday Night Open Thread June 21, 2018
    ?Good game today, great series this week. The Yankees finished the three-game sweep of the Mariners this afternoon and they are now 28 games — 28 games! — over .500 on June 21st. Feels awesome. The 2018 Yankees are not perfect, far from it, but damn, is this team good or what? Great team and […] The post Thursday Night Open Thread appeared first on River Ave […]
    Mike Axisa
  • Yankees 4, Mariners 3: A Seattle Sweep June 21, 2018
    What started as a laugher ended as a bit of a nail-biter. But, a win is a win. The Yankees completed the three-game sweep of the Mariners on Thursday afternoon to pick up their 50th win of the season. Fifty wins in 72 games. Last year the 50th win came in the 95th game. Smell […] The post Yankees 4, Mariners 3: A Seattle Sweep appeared first on River Avenue […]
    Mike Axisa
  • Gleyber Torres says he’s going to pass on the Home Run Derby June 21, 2018
    According to Ken Davidoff, Gleyber Torres said he will pass on participating in the Home Run Derby next month. It’s unknown whether MLB has invited him, but it doesn’t matter now. Torres will pass. “I’m not a home-run hitter. I’m a contact hitter,” he said. Gleyber may not seem like the Home Run Derby type, […] The post Gleyber Torres says he’s going to pass […]
    Mike Axisa

Blog Stats

  • 62,703 hits
Advertisements